Will the Heisman Curse continue?
Alabama's #12 Rushing attack against Texas's #1 Rushing Defense
Texas's #55 Rushing attack against Alabama's #2 Rushing Defense
Alabama's #84 Passing attack against Texas's #23 Passing Defense
Texas's #14 Passing attack against Alabama's #7 Passing Defense
The last time Texas was in the National Championship Game - 2006 defeat of USC
Alabama has never been to the National Championship Game and their 3rd BCS Bowl Game
Texas holds a 7-0 lead head to head against Alabama
A deeper look at the stats:
Alabama:
What we can get from the stats: Alabama will be successful running the ball. They've shown that they were vulnerable at times (see Auburn and Tennessee). Passing is on par with what the defense normally allows. Teams just can't run against Alabama unless they can control the clock (as evident against Auburn). You're looking at about a half the standard yardage a team gets on the ground. Alabama can do a decent job of containing the passing attack with allowing slightly less yards through the air than what an opponent normally does.
Texas:
What we can get from the stats: Texas will be held just slightly above a defenses average agains the run. They will have more success in the air, but not much more than what a team's defense averages. Teams can expect less than 1/2 of the total yardage they normally get. In the air, you're looking at a sever reduction in your passing yards against the Longhorn secondary.
The big question regarding this game will be how Texas' O-line can contain Alabama. If they can contain the pressure and control the clock, Texas will be able to wear out this team. On the Flip side, Texas is going to have to find a way to contain Ingram.
How Coqui sees the game going:
At first I thought this was going to be an Alabama rout. Then I started reading more into the stats and the games themselves. I think both defenses will come out swinging and it's going to be a low scoring affair for the 1st half with Alabama in the lead 3-0. This is where it gets tricky. If Texas has been able to control the clock, I think they get a few TD's in the 2nd half and win the game 21-14. If they don't control the clock, I think it will be the Alabama winning 24-10.
Alabama's #12 Rushing attack against Texas's #1 Rushing Defense
Texas's #55 Rushing attack against Alabama's #2 Rushing Defense
Alabama's #84 Passing attack against Texas's #23 Passing Defense
Texas's #14 Passing attack against Alabama's #7 Passing Defense
The last time Texas was in the National Championship Game - 2006 defeat of USC
Alabama has never been to the National Championship Game and their 3rd BCS Bowl Game
Texas holds a 7-0 lead head to head against Alabama
A deeper look at the stats:
Alabama:
Code:
Alabama Rush yds Opp. Def Pass yds Opp. Def Opp rush Opp Avg Rush def Opp Pass Opp Avg Pass Def
Virginia Tech 268 138.67 230 161.42 64 206.42 77.92 91 181.83 163.77
FIU 275 232.83 241 258.75 1 104.25 77.92 213 216.67 163.77
North Texas 260 195.58 263 216.75 61 185.25 77.92 126 223.42 163.77
Arkansas 134 150.08 291 251.75 63 136.00 77.92 191 303.33 163.77
Kentucky 204 183.17 148 179.75 133 193.25 77.92 168 142.83 163.77
Mississippi 200 140.33 154 179.00 57 182.83 77.92 140 222.75 163.77
South Carolina 264 137.00 92 167.67 64 125.00 77.92 214 234.25 163.77
Tennessee 136 142.92 120 165.92 74 169.83 77.92 265 225.58 163.77
LSU 176 134.17 276 192.42 95 129.58 77.92 158 180.08 163.77
Mississippi St 252 146.00 192 220.00 114 227.58 77.92 99 144.33 163.77
Chattanooga(FCS)313 148.82 109 158.91 48 85.00 77.92 36 216.82 163.77
Auburn 73 161.67 218 191.83 151 213.83 77.92 181 218.50 163.77
Florida 251 101.62 239 151.46 88 225.23 77.92 247 217.15 163.77What we can get from the stats: Alabama will be successful running the ball. They've shown that they were vulnerable at times (see Auburn and Tennessee). Passing is on par with what the defense normally allows. Teams just can't run against Alabama unless they can control the clock (as evident against Auburn). You're looking at about a half the standard yardage a team gets on the ground. Alabama can do a decent job of containing the passing attack with allowing slightly less yards through the air than what an opponent normally does.
Texas:
Code:
Texas Rush yds Opp. Def Pass yds Opp. Def Opp rush Opp Avg Rush def Opp Pass Opp Avg Pass Def
LA - Monroe 199 110.08 363 236.92 101 183.92 62.15 197 208.42 188.92
Wyoming 191 170.50 353 225.08 85 128.00 62.15 188 170.76 188.92
Texas Tech 135 125.00 205 223.75 -6 81.08 62.15 420 380.67 188.92
UTEP 304 200.83 335 246.08 9 151.08 62.15 44 277.58 188.92
Colorado 46 161.17 267 201.83 42 87.92 62.15 85 226.42 188.92
Oklahoma 142 88.58 127 184.92 -16 140.92 62.15 327 278.50 188.92
Missouri 131 96.42 269 261.58 74 132.17 62.15 99 285.00 188.92
Oklahoma St 99 87.67 176 242.25 134 191.75 62.15 143 184.50 188.92
UCF 67 82.50 470 265.58 75 138.50 62.15 76 209.50 188.92
Baylor 224 178.75 187 226.83 6 100.58 62.15 240 242.33 188.92
Kansas 136 138.25 396 245.00 47 112.08 62.15 256 310.33 188.92
Texas A&M 293 168.58 304 262.75 190 190.42 62.15 342 274.92 188.92
Nebraska 18 95.46 184 189.08 67 141.23 62.15 39 175.92 188.92What we can get from the stats: Texas will be held just slightly above a defenses average agains the run. They will have more success in the air, but not much more than what a team's defense averages. Teams can expect less than 1/2 of the total yardage they normally get. In the air, you're looking at a sever reduction in your passing yards against the Longhorn secondary.
The big question regarding this game will be how Texas' O-line can contain Alabama. If they can contain the pressure and control the clock, Texas will be able to wear out this team. On the Flip side, Texas is going to have to find a way to contain Ingram.
How Coqui sees the game going:
At first I thought this was going to be an Alabama rout. Then I started reading more into the stats and the games themselves. I think both defenses will come out swinging and it's going to be a low scoring affair for the 1st half with Alabama in the lead 3-0. This is where it gets tricky. If Texas has been able to control the clock, I think they get a few TD's in the 2nd half and win the game 21-14. If they don't control the clock, I think it will be the Alabama winning 24-10.
