Texas is doomed!

Wessels

Voting for Doc Brown in 2016
Aug 15, 2006
9,102
1,619
41
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tampa, fl
Steam
wessels
Houston area will for sure lose power tomorrow and considering how monstrous this storm is, it'll probably be out for a very long time.

It's been nice knowing you guys.
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face death head on, no fears
 

Mean Mr. Mustard

Always shouts out something obscene
Sep 30, 2004
67,000
34,971
1,323
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Uranus
Steam
heyfubuddy
apparently Anderson Cooper on CNN is reporting that this hurricane is going to murder the entire texas gulf coast and used the term "certain death"

waw, can you go up to the studio and punch that fgt in the mouth for me? Thx.
 

tre

My favorite chef is Mike Rowave
Oct 15, 2004
26,341
19,446
823
igloo
apparently Anderson Cooper on CNN is reporting that this hurricane is going to murder the entire texas gulf coast and used the term "certain death"

waw, can you go up to the studio and punch that fgt in the mouth for me? Thx.

Fuck that, I love fear mongering.

That's how they justified my gas prices rising 13 cents a fucking litre this morning.
 

Jonny_B

Erect Member
Oct 14, 2004
9,162
26
41
latest analysis from a guy who appears to know what's going on:

It is a difficult situation from a forecasters standpoint. Ike has little sense of organization. The normal extrapalation of flight level winds as they compare to what we should find at the surface don't match. The dropsonde's are giving weird data based on what computer modeling says the system should look like and a ragged eye has only just appeared.

Some facts that can't be ignored that are important in Ike's case:

* The eyewall collapsed yesterday and this should open the window for improved organization as the system regenerates a new eye.
* There is plenty of heat content in the waters in front of the storm.
* Shear should relax as the strom is on final apprach to the coast from 15 knots to 5-10 knots.
* This system is enormous from a windfield standpoint and so if it becomes a CAT 3/4 storm prior to landfall then the amount of water already piled up has no where to go but inland and up in elevation.



I continue to be mystified a bit by the lifecycle Ike has enjoyed. I am having a difficult time telling you that things will be fine and he will maintain a mid level CAT 2 status because Ike is in a phase right now where he could intensfiy to as much as a low end CAT 4 prior to landfall or he could fall apart and cruise through as a CAT 1/2.

The next 12 hours are obviously critical and the daylight hours will provide about as much kick to this storm as we can expect unless he recurves during the evening hours and then strengthening is a distinct possibility.

I am waiting for the latest computer run and the RECON data and then hope to provide better answers.

Final analysis in my opinion: Is 21 feet of storm surge possible in the upper bay? Absolutely.

upper Galveston Bay he means.
 

Jonny_B

Erect Member
Oct 14, 2004
9,162
26
41
i read a book about the massive hurricane that hit Galveston back when the national weather service was brand new and they weren't able to forecast hurricanes yet.

it is not a pretty place to be when a big storm surge hits. streets turn into rivers. i can't believe there are still people staying there.
 

Sarcasmo

A Taste Of Honey Fluff Boy
Mar 28, 2005
34,396
464
648
44
Austin
My eyewall collapsed once. Damn near drove off the fuckin' highway. God that hurts.

Then when it reformed it was twice as big. I have a permanent o_O expression now.
 

Jonny_B

Erect Member
Oct 14, 2004
9,162
26
41
wow. that "certain death" line is from the National Weather Service.

MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

GULF-FACING COASTLINE WEST OF SARGENT...5 TO 8 FEET

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA BAY...5 TO 8 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTLINE SARGENT TO HIGH ISLAND
INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND......12 TO 16 FEET

SHORELINE OF GALVESTON BAY...15 TO 22 FEET

LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE
FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY
EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND.
 

kiwi

Messin’ with Sasquatch
Apr 22, 2005
20,423
8,282
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Summer
I don't know exactly where you all live in relation to this storm, but seriously, stay safe everyone.
 

Jonny_B

Erect Member
Oct 14, 2004
9,162
26
41
i'm worried about those Houstonians. Y'all are well above 21 feet right? I want to hear you're all at least 20 miles inland.
 

JAXvillain

Curly_Sue
Oct 13, 2004
68,542
1,879
923
wow, the news is showing galveston under a few feet of water already and the storm doesn't even hit until tonight