WTF WTF America

fly

Osharts 11
Oct 1, 2004
73,388
24,685
1,073
Steam
mattressfish
lol "climate change"

Bunch of horseshit

Fact: Over the last 100 years, the Earth has been slowly, and somewhat erratically, heating up. The million dollar question is why.

After reading The Signal and the Noise written by the same guy that predicted with near 100% accuracy the last two elections on his 538 blog, I have a new found respect for climatologists. Most of the predictions they were in near total agreement on have come true. However, the media took the crazy stuff that they didn't have total agreements on and ran with it.
 

Duke

. . first name's "Daisy" boys
May 12, 2008
55,859
18,143
41
Brandon, FL
Fact: Over the last 100 years, the Earth has been slowly, and somewhat erratically, heating up. The million dollar question is why.

After reading The Signal and the Noise written by the same guy that predicted with near 100% accuracy the last two elections on his 538 blog, I have a new found respect for climatologists. Most of the predictions they were in near total agreement on have come true. However, the media took the crazy stuff that they didn't have total agreements on and ran with it.

Weren't you a 'climate change is BS' type not too long ago?
 

Duke

. . first name's "Daisy" boys
May 12, 2008
55,859
18,143
41
Brandon, FL
It's not a callout, mind you. I'm just curious as to what it was that changed your mind.
 

fly

Osharts 11
Oct 1, 2004
73,388
24,685
1,073
Steam
mattressfish
Weren't you a 'climate change is BS' type not too long ago?

No. My stance was that we didn't have enough solid data points to determine if it was humans that caused climate change. Although it seems likely that humans have something to do with it, that is still my stance.
 

Floptical

Doesnt Read Thread Titles
Sep 1, 2006
23,575
14,691
473
Rockies
Fact: Over the last 100 years, the Earth has been slowly, and somewhat erratically, heating up. The million dollar question is why.

After reading The Signal and the Noise written by the same guy that predicted with near 100% accuracy the last two elections on his 538 blog, I have a new found respect for climatologists. Most of the predictions they were in near total agreement on have come true. However, the media took the crazy stuff that they didn't have total agreements on and ran with it.

The problem is this guy isn't a climatologist he's a statistician. Anything that has predictable numbers with historical especially based on something that doesn't waiver like voting is easy. He'll even most of the news stations properly forecast election results. The issue with doing this for the climate is you can't predict or control weather.
 

Mr. Argumentor

Will Argue for Tacos
Sep 27, 2012
50,651
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Steam
asastang
We don't have the science to accurately predict the weather (for more than a week at least), but that does not mean we never will, it also does not mean that we cannot look back at years and years of records and draw accurate conclusions from that data.
 

Floptical

Doesnt Read Thread Titles
Sep 1, 2006
23,575
14,691
473
Rockies
We don't have the science to accurately predict the weather (for more than a week at least), but that does not mean we never will, it also does not mean that we cannot look back at years and years of records and draw accurate conclusions from that data.

Conclusions and loose predictions yes but it's still all speculation.
 

Syrup Beaver

pants log
Sep 30, 2004
47,775
245
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49
beneath the soiled underbelly of the 'nev
Visit site
Fact: Over the last 100 years, the Earth has been slowly, and somewhat erratically, heating up. The million dollar question is why.

After reading The Signal and the Noise written by the same guy that predicted with near 100% accuracy the last two elections on his 538 blog, I have a new found respect for climatologists. Most of the predictions they were in near total agreement on have come true. However, the media took the crazy stuff that they didn't have total agreements on and ran with it.

It's because women keep turning the thermostat up.
 

Valve1138

I eat my own poo with a spoon
Oct 19, 2004
42,489
15,945
823
South Harmon Institute of Technology
Fact: Over the last 100 years, the Earth has been slowly, and somewhat erratically, heating up. The million dollar question is why.

After reading The Signal and the Noise written by the same guy that predicted with near 100% accuracy the last two elections on his 538 blog, I have a new found respect for climatologists. Most of the predictions they were in near total agreement on have come true. However, the media took the crazy stuff that they didn't have total agreements on and ran with it.

100 years is too small a data sample to say there is a global climate change occurring.
 

Valve1138

I eat my own poo with a spoon
Oct 19, 2004
42,489
15,945
823
South Harmon Institute of Technology
Just goes to show entitlement types habitate both ends of the financial spectrum.

There was a 2 hour frost delay the day before. Some fat guy proceeded to run his mouth for 30 minutes just within ear shot of the attendant.

What an asshole. Go make use of the unlimited free range balls you get tubby.

We went out after him, he sucked ass for talking so much.
 

Floptical

Doesnt Read Thread Titles
Sep 1, 2006
23,575
14,691
473
Rockies
Yeah, it sure would suck if we cleaned the air and the water and found out it was all for nothing.

I didn't say that at all. I'm saying a stats guy using just number to predict stuff isn't a valid prediction as say as actual climate guy doing weather models etc.